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Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Ulta Beauty’s Q2 FY2026 (quarter ended August 2, 2025) delivered net sales of $2.8B (+9.3% YoY) and diluted EPS of $5.78, with comps +6.7% and gross margin expanding to 39.2% .
  • Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue beat by ~$0.12B and EPS beat by ~$0.68*, driven by broader category strength and operating execution such as improved shrink and merchandise margin .
  • Management raised FY2025 guidance to net sales of $12.0–$12.1B and comps of 2.5–3.5%, citing momentum and Space NK acquisition benefits while maintaining macro caution .
  • Strategic catalysts: Space NK acquisition (UK entry) in July and planned conclusion of Target shop-in-shop in Aug 2026; both frame international expansion and channel optimization .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong topline and comps: Net sales $2.8B (+9.3% YoY) and comps +6.7%, with transactions +3.7% and average ticket +2.9% .
  • Margin execution: Gross margin improved to 39.2% YoY, supported by lower inventory shrink and higher merchandise margin .
  • Management raised FY guide: “Our outlook…reflects both the strength of our year-to-date performance and our caution around how consumer demand may evolve in the second half of the year” — CEO Kecia Steelman .

What Went Wrong

  • SG&A deleverage persisted YoY given payroll, benefits, and corporate overhead associated with strategic investments (company noted deleverage in prior year and continued investment focus) .
  • Continued macro caution and tariffs: Management emphasized prudence as consumers watch pricing trends amid tariffs/macro uncertainty .
  • Prior-year baseline showed store-performance headwinds, requiring promotional calendar optimization and shrink initiatives to sustain margins (discussed across FY2024/early FY2025) .

Financial Results

Revenue, EPS, Margins vs Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ2 FY2024 (Aug 3, 2024)Q1 FY2025 (May 3, 2025)Q2 FY2026 (Aug 2, 2025)
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$2.55 $2.85 $2.80
Diluted EPS ($)$5.30 $6.70 $5.78
Gross Margin (%)38.3% 39.1% 39.2%
Operating Margin (%)12.9% 14.1% 12.4%
Comps (%)(1.2%) 2.9% 6.7%

Estimates vs Actuals (Consensus – S&P Global)

MetricConsensus (Q2 FY2026)Actual (Q2 FY2026)Surprise
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.67*$2.79+$0.12B*
EPS ($)$5.10*$5.78+$0.68*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment/Category Breakdown (qualitative)

CategoryPerformance (Q2 FY2026)
FragranceDouble-digit growth
Skincare & WellnessHigh single-digit growth; strength in bodycare, K-Beauty, supplements
MakeupMid-single-digit comparative growth (strong brands include MAC, Hourglass, NYX)

KPIs

KPIQ2 FY2024Q1 FY2025Q2 FY2026
Transactions YoY(1.8%) +0.6% +3.7%
Average Ticket YoY+0.6% +2.3% +2.9%
Merchandise Inventory (end of Q2)$2.0B (Q2 FY2024) $2.1B (Q1 FY2025) $2.4B (Q2 FY2026)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY2025$11.5–$11.7B (May 29, 2025) $12.0–$12.1B (Aug 28, 2025) Raised
Comparable SalesFY20250–1.5% (May 29, 2025) 2.5–3.5% (Aug 28, 2025) Raised
Diluted EPSFY2025$22.65–$23.20 (May 29, 2025) Updated qualitatively with raised sales/mix; EPS range not explicitly restated in Q2 release (see call) N/A in release
Operating MarginFY202511.7–11.8% (May 29, 2025) Maintained directional caution; implied strong H2 performance (call commentary) Maintained
CapexFY2025$425–$500M $425–$500M (no change) Maintained
D&AFY2025$290–$300M ~ $300M Clarified
Share RepurchasesFY2025~ $900M Authorization balance update; continued execution (call/IR) Maintained
Effective Tax RateFY2025~24.5% Not explicitly updated in Q2 release; Q2 tax rate was 24.5% Maintained level

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q2 FY2024, Q-1: Q1 FY2025)Current Period (Q2 FY2026)Trend
Promotional strategyQ2 FY2024: Higher promotions pressured margin; comps -1.2% CEO: “impact of gross margin from promotional offers was lower than 2024…optimized timing of key offers” (Q&A) Improving margin discipline
Shrink & supply chainQ1 FY2025: Shrink higher in some prestige; investments in fixtures/process Q2 FY2026: Lower inventory shrink aided GM; supply chain deleverage managed Improving shrink; supply chain monitored
Digital/MarketplaceQ1 FY2025: Tech investments in stores/IT Launching curated Ulta Beauty Marketplace in Q3 to expand assortment Strategic expansion
International expansionPrior: groundwork; Space NK deal (July) Space NK integration; Middle East and Mexico initiatives highlighted Expanding footprint
Target partnershipN/A (older commentary minimal)Mutually concluding in Aug 2026; minimal financial impact Channel optimization
Macro/tariffsQ2 FY2024: macro caution Management remains cautious; consumers watch pricing amid tariffs Ongoing caution

Management Commentary

  • “Outstanding top line performance, fueled by growth across all major categories, drove market share growth and better-than-expected profitability” — Kecia Steelman, President & CEO .
  • CFO commentary: FY2025 guidance raised to net sales $12.0–$12.1B and comps 2.5–3.5% reflecting strong H1 momentum and Space NK impact; prudent stance given consumer uncertainty .
  • Promotional cadence: “We eliminated less productive events…optimized timing” to drive profitable growth (Q&A) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin leverage thresholds and comp sensitivity: Discussion on supply chain and overhead deleverage points; management highlighted long-term algorithm and stronger-than-planned 2025 start while balancing costs .
  • Category dynamics: Analysts probed mass vs prestige performance; management cited category momentum and exclusive brand pipeline (e.g., Rihanna/Fenty) .
  • Promotional strategy: Management clarified promotional reductions and timing optimizations vs 2024 to protect margins .
  • Strategy updates: Marketplace launch timing, international expansion (Space NK integration), and Target conclusion impact .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue and EPS exceeded S&P Global consensus by ~$0.12B and ~$0.68*, respectively, on stronger comps and improved merchandise margin execution.
  • Expect estimates to drift upward for H2 given raised sales guidance and category momentum, though management’s macro caution may temper EPS upward revisions.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Beat and raise: Strong Q2 print with raised FY sales/comps guidance; the setup is favorable into H2 with narrative support from category breadth and Space NK integration .
  • Margin drivers improving: Shrink and promotional optimization enhanced GM; watch SG&A discipline as investments continue .
  • Category resilience: Fragrance leads; skincare/wellness robust; makeup steady—diversified category tailwinds support topline .
  • Strategic expansion: Space NK accelerates UK entry; Ulta Marketplace broadens assortment; Middle East/Mexico add optionality .
  • Channel mix shift: Target partnership conclusion in 2026 has limited financial impact and simplifies brand narrative .
  • Trading lens: Into H2, look for comp/margin continuity, Marketplace launch traction, and Space NK integration updates; volatility risks include macro/tariffs and promotional intensity .
  • Medium-term thesis: Category leadership, loyalty scale, and strengthening margin engines underpin durable growth; international expansion provides new growth vectors .